Good morning! Overnight, I uploaded the latest episode of The Steve Marchand Podcast, with my guest, Stefany Shaheen.
In the Democratic primary for NH’s 1st congressional district - a purple seat that is open because incumbent Democrat Chris Pappas is pursuing NH’s U.S. Senate seat - Stefany Shaheen has been the frontrunner since entering the race in May of last year.
That’s the advantage of being the daughter of the historic political figure Pappas is hoping to succeed - Senator Jeanne Shaheen, the first woman in American history to be elected Governor and Senator. However, with that name ID also comes increased scrutiny, and a *lot* of questions directly related to the family’s legacy. It remains a largely undefined, and potentially highly competitive, primary.
On today’s episode, I purposely did not want to spend much time on such topics. Instead, we ran the gamut, from policy (the weeds of health care, inflation, AI, and more) to the surprisingly conservative politics of GenX (we were both born in 1974), to the thread of competitive sports that many may not know runs throughout her life.
You can also watch on my YouTube channel, or listen to it in podcast form on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
You can also watch or listen to podcast episodes with most of the rest of the CD1 Democratic primary field by visiting my YouTube channel or podcast.
Rolling Out the “NH Senate Projection Show, V1.0”
On Tuesday, April 28th, at 7pm, I’ll I’ll use it as an opportunity to announce the date of my “Move The Goalposts 2026 NH Senate Projection Show, V1.0”. I’ll go through all 24 State Senate seats, put it into the range of potential 2026 electoral environments, and make some early projections about what this could mean for Senate outcomes. I’ll also take your questions - it should be a brisk, lively discussion!
We’ll be doing it live, and all are invited to participate, but it does require registration. Click here to register.
The live House version of that program, where I did a first run through of the models I’ve successfully developed to project downballot outcomes over the past three cycles, can be found here.
